Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Brooklyn Nets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 26, 2025

Updated Feb 27, 2025 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has successfully made 48.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 18.1% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year away from his home court.
The matchup against Cameron Johnson is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when guarding fellow starting PFs this year, they have converted an enormous 40.7% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (97th percentile).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Thunder grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from home with 14.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 1.4 3-pointers per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
The Nets have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Thunder.
Chet Holmgren stands to suffer a reduction in performance in all facets of the game as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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