Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 10/24/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Oct 24, 2024

Updated Oct 25, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+104/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +154 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has played 30.0 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the league: 77th percentile.
The Thunder check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA since the start of last season.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The rate of three-point shots hit against Nikola Jokic has been very low (26.9%) when he is playing at home and facing other starting Cs since the start of last season (12th percentile).
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league since the start of last season, which ought to decrease plays for the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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