Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/15/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · May 15, 2024

Updated May 16, 2024 1:31 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-123/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren measures in the 75th percentile for three-point attempts, putting up 4.3 per game this year.
Chet Holmgren has averaged 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Oklahoma City Thunder's terrific 38.6% rate of sunk threes places strongest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Daniel Gafford is a positive one for 3-pointers; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have converted a monstrous 35.1% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (100th percentile).
The Thunder have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Thunder are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from being pitted against the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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