Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/13/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 13, 2024

Updated May 14, 2024 1:32 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +122 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 75th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, tallying 4.3 per game this year.
Chet Holmgren has tallied 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
As it relates to treys, the Thunder's excellent 38.7% rate of converted threes ranks most in the NBA this year.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren slots into the 86th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The number of three-point shots attempted against Daniel Gafford has been very low (1.5 per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (13th percentile).
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Chet Holmgren will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production for all stats.

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