Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 11, 2024

Updated May 11, 2024 7:32 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has attempted 5.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Chet Holmgren has played 29.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 80th percentile.
When it comes to three-pointers, the Thunder's stellar 38.8% rate of drained threes ranks best in the league this year.
The rate of three-point shots converted against Daniel Gafford has been remarkably high (35.7%) when facing other starting Cs this year (88th percentile).
The 5th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (86th percentile).
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a decline in possessions today from squaring off against the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player production across the board.

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