Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 29, 2024

Updated Apr 30, 2024 12:04 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren registers in the 75th percentile for threes drained, posting 1.6 per game this year.
Chet Holmgren has played 29.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The matchup vs. Jonas Valanciunas is a tough one for 3-point shots; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have converted a mere 26.8% of their attempts from downtown (13th percentile).
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Pelicans).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Chet Holmgren will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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