Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 27, 2024

Updated Apr 27, 2024 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has made 1.6 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 79th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 29.5 minutes per game this year.
With respect to three-point shots, the Oklahoma City Thunder's superb 38.8% rate of successful threes rates 2nd-best in the league this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The matchup vs. Jonas Valanciunas is a tough one for three-pointers; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have sunk a measly 26.8% of their three-point attempts (13th percentile).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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