Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has played 29.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Thunder rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The number of threes scored against Jusuf Nurkic has been remarkably high (0.8 per game) when he is away from his home court and squaring off against other starting Cs this year (90th percentile).
The Thunder have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has shot and missed 3.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's failed to convert from 3-point range in all games this season.
Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren measures in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 2.4 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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