Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 4, 2024 2:22 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has sunk 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's converted in all games this season without the home court advantage.
Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 30.0 minutes per game away from home this year.
With respect to threes, the Thunder's excellent 39.5% rate of sunk threes places strongest in the league this year.
The matchup against Jusuf Nurkic is a strong one for 3-point shots; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have made a monstrous 35.3% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (87th percentile).
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.6 fouls per game this year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Suns have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player production across the board.

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