Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 11, 2024

Updated Feb 12, 2024 4:06 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-137/-137).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has made 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's made from three in all games this season.
Chet Holmgren has averaged 30.4 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Thunder.
The Kings have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren rates in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.3 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Domantas Sabonis has been very low (1.0 per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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