Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 5, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has made 38.5% of his 3-point attempts this year, putting him in the 76th percentile among all players in the league.
Chet Holmgren has played 29.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Thunder rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home.
The matchup against Jakob Poeltl is a good one for 3-pointers; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have converted an enormous 46.1% of their three-pointers (100th percentile).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team has grabbed 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Raptors (saving possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).

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