Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 12:53 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-137/-137).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 78th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 30.2 minutes per game playing at home this year.
In regard to shots from downtown, the Thunder's terrific 38.7% rate of converted threes ranks 3rd-best in the NBA this year.
The 9th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have grabbed 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Charlotte Hornets (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce bonus chances for offense).
Chet Holmgren figures to see an increase in effectiveness for all stats as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The matchup vs. Nick Richards is a hard one for 3-point attempts; when Richards is playing on the road and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 1.1 three-pointers per game (13th percentile).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.

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