Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics · Jan 2, 2024

Updated Jan 3, 2024 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-139/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has made 2.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from three over the course of the season.
Chet Holmgren has tallied 29.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 76th percentile.
The Thunder rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The clash with Kristaps Porzingis slots into just the 93rd percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs sinking a massive 1.2 3-point shots per game this year when they are on their home court.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while on their home court.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from competing against the 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Boston Celtics).
The Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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