Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 1:53 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren measures in the 76th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 29.9 minutes per game this year.
The Thunder have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing on the road this year.
This year, opposing teams have tallied 11.2 3-pointers per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The rate of three-point shots scored against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably low (22.9%) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (14th percentile).
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 1stworst in in the league with just 8.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Denver Nuggets have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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