Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 1:53 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-166/+130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren registers in the 87th percentile for three-point prowess while playing on the road with a an impressive 46.2% rate this year.
Chet Holmgren has attempted 6.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.7 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.
As it relates to threes, the Thunder's remarkable 39.8% rate of drained threes places highest in the league this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Dallas is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting team, the other team's starting Cs have shot for the 14th-lowest three percentage in the league since the start of last season (22.7%).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 7.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Without the home court advantage, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren stands to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this contest.