Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has successfully made 2.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year.
The Thunder have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the away team this year.
The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers is a strong one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting Cs have posted the 30th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (56.1%).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should raise possessions for the Thunder.
Chet Holmgren is expected to see a rise in effectiveness across the board in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.8 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
The Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing squads have snagged 12.7 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Lakers (preserving possessions that can produce additional opportunities for offense).

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