Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2023

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 12, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 12:30 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren lands in the 93rd percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a an impressive 47.2% rate since the start of last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 78th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 28.0 minutes per game when playing on the road since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Phoenix is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Phoenix Suns are on the road, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 24th-most three attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (1.8).
The 3rd-quickest pace visiting offense in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-slowest pace-of-play away team in the league this year (the Phoenix Suns).
The Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has nabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Suns (continuing possessions that can bring about extra chances for offense).
Chet Holmgren will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually lowers stat production for all stats.