Chet Holmgren Blocks - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Blocks

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 11, 2025

Updated May 11, 2025 7:34 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Blocks Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has posted 2.3 blocks per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 100th percentile.
Chet Holmgren has played 27.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 75th percentile.
The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.

Favors Under

The Nuggets have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Chet Holmgren stands to suffer a drop-off in production in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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