Chet Holmgren Blocks - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Blocks

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 1:53 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Blocks Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has averaged 3.2 blocks per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 100th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric.
Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren measures in the 76th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 29.9 minutes per game this year.
The Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
Chet Holmgren will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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