Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/22/2025

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 22, 2025

Updated May 23, 2025 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+104/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 4th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Chet Holmgren figures to get a boost in output in all facets of the game in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (80th percentile).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 10thworst in in the league while playing at home with a mere 10.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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