Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/18/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 18, 2024

Updated May 19, 2024 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-167/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has been on the court for 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.
The 6th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Thunder.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The Mavericks have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.
Chet Holmgren figures to suffer a reduction in productivity for all stats considering being on the road in this matchup.

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