Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/13/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 13, 2024

Updated May 14, 2024 2:12 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has tallied 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren slots into the 86th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Chet Holmgren will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production for all stats.

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