Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 12, 2024

Updated Apr 12, 2024 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+155/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -180 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Chet Holmgren will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally increases stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game at home this year.
The Bucks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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