Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+425/-700).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +425.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has averaged 29.9 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games as the home team.
Chet Holmgren will likely get a boost in production for all stats due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Kings have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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