Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 7, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 10:42 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has averaged 29.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 80th percentile.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games as the road team.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The Hornets have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Thunder.
The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren is expected to see a decline in productivity in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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