Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 5, 2024

Updated Apr 5, 2024 11:17 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has tallied 29.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 80th percentile.
The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the speediest tempo home team in the NBA this year (the Pacers).

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren stands to experience a decrease in productivity in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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