Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets · Mar 27, 2024

Updated Mar 28, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has been on the court for 30.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The 4th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Thunder.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Thunder.
Chet Holmgren will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually improves player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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