Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 22, 2024

Updated Mar 22, 2024 11:12 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has put up 2.8 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's leaders by this standard in recent days: 75th percentile.
Chet Holmgren has averaged 30.2 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Thunder will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the speediest pace home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (84th percentile).
The Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren is expected to suffer a reduction in efficiency for all stats considering playing away from home in this game.

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