Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz · Mar 20, 2024

Updated Mar 20, 2024 10:21 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has compiled 2.7 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 75th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren rates in the 78th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 30.2 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Jazz have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home city, which should increase opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Chet Holmgren figures to see a spike in productivity for all stats due to possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.3 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.

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