Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/29/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 29, 2024

Updated Mar 1, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has compiled 2.7 assists per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's best in this category over this stretch: 75th percentile.
Chet Holmgren has tallied 29.9 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in possessions today from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest tempo team in the league this year (the Spurs).

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied overall this year.
The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
While at home, the San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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