Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Washington Wizards · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren places in the 78th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 30.5 minutes per game while at home this year.
The Wizards have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Chet Holmgren will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's averaged overall this season.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, their opposition has snagged 12.7 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Wizards (saving possessions that can create added chances for offense).

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