Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 6, 2024

Updated Feb 7, 2024 4:06 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has tallied 2.8 assists per game this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category in recent games.
Chet Holmgren has averaged 30.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (82nd percentile).
The 4th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 25 games, the other team has captured 11.2 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Jazz (retaining possessions that can bring about extra chances for offense).
Chet Holmgren should see a decline in productivity across the board due to playing on the visting team in this game.

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