Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 11:58 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-137/-137).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has posted 2.8 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the best in the league in this category over this stretch: 75th percentile.
Chet Holmgren has played 29.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.
The Raptors have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court, which should lead to more plays for the Thunder.
Chet Holmgren will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team has grabbed 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Raptors (saving possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).

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