Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has tallied 30.1 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
Chet Holmgren will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The 7th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from facing the slowest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets).
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Denver Nuggets have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

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