Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 12:17 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has tallied 4.0 assists per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.1 more than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren rates in the 79th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 30.2 minutes per game this year.
The Thunder have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.0 higher than he's averaged overall this season on the road.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a decline in plays today from facing the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have collected 11.6 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) against the Pelicans (maintaining possessions that can create extra opportunities for offense).
Chet Holmgren figures to experience a decrease in efficiency for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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