Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 2:38 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +142 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has put up 3.8 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's put up overall this year.
Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren registers in the 79th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 30.2 minutes per game this year.
The Thunder have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NBA this year.
The Spurs have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should increase plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.2 more than he's committed overall this year on the road.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has snagged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Spurs (retaining possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).
Chet Holmgren will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to lower stat production in all facets of the game.

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