Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

LA Clippers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 16, 2024

Updated Jan 17, 2024 2:36 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-123/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has put up 2.7 assists per game this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- among the hottest players in the league in this category over this stretch.
Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren rates in the 77th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 30.0 minutes per game this year.
The 6th-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the other team has captured 7.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the LA Clippers (turning over possessions that could otherwise bring about added chances for offense).

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the LA Clippers).
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren should experience a decrease in performance for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

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