Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 16, 2024 3:48 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren rates in the 78th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 29.9 minutes per game this year.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Thunder are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Lakers).
Over the last 15 games, their opposition has come down with 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.5 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Chet Holmgren is expected to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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