Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Orlando Magic · Jan 13, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has posted 3.8 assists per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 more than he's posted in all games this year at home.
Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren measures in the 77th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 29.9 minutes per game this year.
The fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Orlando Magic have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually improves stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren slots into the 88th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a decline in plays today from facing the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Magic).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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