Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 11, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has totaled 3.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's totaled in all games this year.
Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 30.1 minutes per game this year.
The 7th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which should lead to more plays for the Thunder.
Chet Holmgren will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally boosts player production across the board.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (88th percentile).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 20 games when they are playing at home, the other team has grabbed 12.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (continuing possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).

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