Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has put up 3.8 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's put up in all games this year.
Chet Holmgren has averaged 29.5 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Thunder have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hawks).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren places in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.
The Hawks have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren is expected to see a decline in performance for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

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