Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 12:52 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren places in the 75th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 29.9 minutes per game this year.
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games playing at home.
Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have grabbed 8.9 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).
Chet Holmgren ought to get a boost in effectiveness in all stat categories considering controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (86th percentile).
The Thunder will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-slowest tempo road team in the league over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).
The Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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