Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 1:15 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+136/-179).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -167 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -179.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 5th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a spike in possessions today from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
Chet Holmgren should see an increase in effectiveness in all stat categories due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (88th percentile).
The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Away from their home court, the Lakers have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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