Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should raise possessions for the Thunder.
Chet Holmgren is expected to see a rise in effectiveness across the board in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.8 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
The Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing squads have snagged 12.7 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Lakers (preserving possessions that can produce additional opportunities for offense).

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