Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 9:52 PM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
Chet Holmgren is expected to see a rise in productivity for all stats in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-least up-tempo tempo home team in the league this year (the Philadelphia 76ers).
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 7.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
When playing away from home, the Philadelphia 76ers have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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