Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Thunder have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the visting team this year.
Chet Holmgren ought to get a boost in output across the board due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from facing the 2nd-most lethargic tempo road offense in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, their opposition has captured 11.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Bulls (saving possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense).

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