Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 4th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Thunder.
This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the league) against the Trail Blazers (minimizing possessions that could otherwise bring about added chances for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren lands in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.5 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
The Thunder will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from facing the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Portland Trail Blazers).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA on the road with only 7.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Chet Holmgren will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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