Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 12:45 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Thunder have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-speediest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Spurs).
On their home court, the Spurs have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (8.4) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Chet Holmgren should get a boost in output in all stat categories as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Chet Holmgren has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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