Chet Holmgren Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2023

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Chet Holmgren

NBA · Player Props

Chet Holmgren

C-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 3, 2023

Updated Nov 4, 2023 3:03 AM EST

Analysis

Chet Holmgren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -185 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chet Holmgren has been on the court for 28.7 minutes per game on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Thunder rank 6thbest in in the NBA on their home court with 11.1 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
Chet Holmgren will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increase stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren measures in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 3.4 fouls per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-most sluggish tempo home team in the league this year (the Warriors).
Since the start of last season when they are at home, the other team has snagged 10.9 offensive boards per game (7th-most in the league) against the Golden State Warriors (saving possessions that can create additional chances for offense).

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