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Carlton Carrington

Carlton Carrington Points
Player Prop - 4/13/2025

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards

Carlton Carrington Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bub Carrington has sunk 48.4% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 16.3% more than he's made overall this season.

Bub Carrington has attempted 7.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Bub Carrington has averaged 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

The Wizards rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to offense, the Wizards's unimpressive 95.4 points per game places lowest in the league over the last 5 games.

The Wizards have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest tempo in the league in their home city this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Wizards.

Bub Carrington will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen player performance across the board.

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